3 days down indicator

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3 days down indicator

Postby Steve_W » Tue Dec 31, 2024 2:54 pm

Hi all,

Here's a bare-bones oscillator indicator intended for use on stock indices.
It is based on this article https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-trading-strategy-quant-fund-manager-competition-champion-sp500-return-2024-9 that describes Ivan Scherman's method.

Usage:
Daily timeframes
Stock indices (but may be of use on some other instruments)
3 down candles = look to go long at own discretion, as signalled by indicator
Exit on a close above a shorter moving average - or limit order.

Some enhancements have been added in particular looking at the quality of the last candle in the group - wick and body observation for momentum reversal assessment.
Comments in the code.

The signal frequency is quite low. Tuning doesn't seem too critical - across instruments and historical data. The default parameters were found for SPX500 on recent history.

I've included screenshots for my own strategy back-test - it requires appropriate money/risk management (I used quite a wide stop based on recent volatility). I may upload the strategy at a later date... more work needed.

Steve

3down.lua
version 1.0
(5.15 KiB) Downloaded 56 times

3down_chart.png
SPX500 daily

3down_backtest_chart.png
back-test chart and equity curve

3down_backtest.png
back-test result - order size=1

3down_backtest_chart_2010.png
back-test - same config for 2010-2011 data
Steve_W
 
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